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08 August 2018 Wednesday AM - GBP: Pressure Remains | EUR: Eyes on Italy | USD: Retreating | AUD: Lowe Speaks | NZD: All eyes on the RBNZ

The calendar is empty today save for the RBNZ decision, yet the Pound continues to edge lower and the Dollar's broad-based rally remains on pause. Markets will be watching developments in Italy andโ€ฆ

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07 August 2018 Tuesday AM - GBP: Sweaty Retail Sales | AUD: RBA Decision | USD: Economy Must Keep Surprising

The Australian Dollar is in focus in the wake of the RBA decision but an empty economic calendar today means global sentiment and nuances will be in charge. Here's what to watch.

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06 August 2018 Monday AM: GBP Looks to Settle | Global Risk Sentiment in Driving Seat | AUD: Jobs Report

The China-US tariff war is the key geopolitical event concerning markets on a day that is devoid of any major calendar releases.

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03 August 2018 Friday AM - GBP: Services PMI | USD: Employment Data | AUD: Retail Sales Beat | EUR: PMIs

Foreign exchange market report for the morning of August 03.

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02 August 2018 Thursday AM - GBP: Super Thursday | USD: No Love from FOMC | CAD: NAFTA Hopes | AUD: Trade Blowout

The global backdrop remains tetchy with US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer officially stating that the Trump administration is considering increasing the tariffs from 10% to 25% on UDS200bn โ€ฆ

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Historical Exchange Rate Data

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Pound Sterling Index

Pound Sterling Index

Bank of England trade-weighted sterling effective exchange rate index (Jan 2005 = 100)

Is Your Currency Cheap or Expensive?

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Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER)

A reading above 100 means the currency is expensive relative to its long-run historical average. Below 100 means it is undervalued.

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง British Pound
105.20
Cheap Expensive
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Euro
103.41
Cheap Expensive
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Dollar
106.16
Cheap Expensive
๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ Australian Dollar
110.67
Cheap Expensive
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ Swiss Franc
119.94
Cheap Expensive

Exchange Rate Forecasts

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Market-implied Forecasts

GBP/EUR Market-implied Forecast
Spot: 1.1591 12M: 1.1406
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GBP/USD Market-implied Forecast
Spot: 1.3386 12M: 1.3358
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Dollar's Cyclical Powers Return: HSBC

Dollar's Cyclical Powers Return: HSBC

The dollar has rediscovered a powerful source of support: the U.S. economy.

FX Today: USD Retreats, NZD Tops the Table Pound-to-Dollar Week Ahead Forecast: Prodding Lower, CPI in Focus Dollar Pressures Pound and Euro on Crushing U.S. Jobs Report
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Australian Dollar Looking Fragile: Lloyds

Australian Dollar Looking Fragile: Lloyds

The Australian dollar looks vulnerable to a deeper setback shows a new anylsis from Lloyds Bank, although other analysts think the currency will refind its...

Pound-Australian Dollar Week Ahead: Further Recovery Seen Pound-Australian Dollar Near-term Outlook Underpinned by Firming Base Aussie Dollar Still Looks Good: Lloyds
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Euro Downside Risks on 'Dovish' ECB Hike

Euro Downside Risks on 'Dovish' ECB Hike

Euro exchange rates look to the European Central Bank for support, but they might find it lacking.

Euro-to-Dollar Week Ahead Forecast: Sellers in Control Euro-Dollar Risks 1.15 Next: ING Euro-Dollar Forecasts Lowered at Commerzbank
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Swiss Franc Most Vulnerable to Oil Spikes: HSBC

Swiss Franc Most Vulnerable to Oil Spikes: HSBC

Research from HSBC shows why the war in the Middle East has proven to be a significant headwind to the Swiss Franc.

Pound-Franc On Course to Slide Below Parity: J. Safra Sarasin Swiss Franc Tipped to Make a Comeback by UBS Swiss Franc Weakness Now SNB Policy