Pound to US Dollar Forecast and Live Exchange Rate
The pound to us dollar forecast from investment banks and market pricing, with the live GBP/USD rate, charts and daily analysis
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Updated
What's Driving GBP/USD
- ๐บ๐ธ Pound Sterling Live forecasts GBP/USD extending its recovery towards the falling 100-day average this week, inside a broader USD-led trend
- GBP/USD rose on 20 October after the UK jobs report, building on a rebound from a test of the 2026 low at 1.3140 in the week of 12 October
- UK unemployment fell to 4.7% in the three months to August against a 5.0% consensus, and regular pay growth quickened to 3.7%, beating the 3.6% expected
- Markets already priced better than 90% odds of a Bank of England hike on 5 November, and the jobs beat makes it harder for the Bank to step back
- Commonwealth Bank of Australia: US 10-year yields fell 30bp in the tech-led bond rally, a reflection of excessive bearishness, and lower yields weigh on USD
- ๐ The falling 100-day exponential moving average at 1.3388 is the natural objective for GBP/USD's rebound
- 1.3302 and 1.3274, old GBP/USD resistance turned support, should cushion dips, and a daily close beneath 1.3274 would change the near-term call
- ๐ญ Pound Sterling Live's medium-term forecast is for USD strength to persist while the 100-day caps a pair making lower highs since August's 1.3676 peak
- CIBC Capital Markets: USD to strengthen on a medium-term view, driven by AI-related capital inflows into the US and an elevated US neutral rate
- September UK inflation on 21 October, consensus 3.4%, is the next test for GBP
- Crรฉdit Agricole: current Bank of England hike pricing is excessive, leaving many BoE positives already in GBP's price
For the latest analysis visit the GBP/USD News Hub โ
| One Week | 1.3306 |
| One Month | 1.3306 |
| Three Months | 1.3308 |
| Six Months | 1.3307 |
| One Year | 1.3298 |
| Date | Open | Close | High | Low | Mid |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 28 Oct | 1.3306 | 1.3303 | 1.3312 | 1.3298 | 1.3304 |
| Tue 27 Oct | 1.3342 | 1.3306 | 1.3349 | 1.3303 | 1.3324 |
| Mon 26 Oct | 1.3384 | 1.3342 | 1.3388 | 1.3328 | 1.3363 |
| Fri 23 Oct | 1.3400 | 1.3376 | 1.3408 | 1.3361 | 1.3388 |
| Thu 22 Oct | 1.3395 | 1.3400 | 1.3419 | 1.3355 | 1.3397 |
| Wed 21 Oct | 1.3379 | 1.3395 | 1.3403 | 1.3365 | 1.3387 |
| Tue 20 Oct | 1.3304 | 1.3379 | 1.3409 | 1.3301 | 1.3342 |
| Mon 19 Oct | 1.3317 | 1.3304 | 1.3342 | 1.3299 | 1.3310 |
| Fri 16 Oct | 1.3276 | 1.3329 | 1.3372 | 1.3268 | 1.3303 |
| Thu 15 Oct | 1.3194 | 1.3276 | 1.3278 | 1.3187 | 1.3235 |
| Wed 14 Oct | 1.3255 | 1.3194 | 1.3275 | 1.3137 | 1.3225 |
| Tue 13 Oct | 1.3208 | 1.3255 | 1.3259 | 1.3205 | 1.3231 |
| Mon 12 Oct | 1.3231 | 1.3208 | 1.3261 | 1.3202 | 1.3219 |
| Fri 9 Oct | 1.3229 | 1.3233 | 1.3250 | 1.3206 | 1.3231 |
| Thu 8 Oct | 1.3213 | 1.3229 | 1.3248 | 1.3185 | 1.3221 |
| Wed 7 Oct | 1.3275 | 1.3213 | 1.3276 | 1.3194 | 1.3244 |
| Tue 6 Oct | 1.3223 | 1.3275 | 1.3285 | 1.3202 | 1.3249 |
| Mon 5 Oct | 1.3244 | 1.3223 | 1.3250 | 1.3191 | 1.3233 |
| Fri 2 Oct | 1.3196 | 1.3241 | 1.3256 | 1.3182 | 1.3218 |
| Thu 1 Oct | 1.3264 | 1.3196 | 1.3273 | 1.3181 | 1.3230 |
Pound to US Dollar Forecast: 1.3308 in Three Months
These predictions are based on the forward points being traded in currency markets. These contracts are widely used by businesses, investors, and financial institutions for hedging or speculative purposes. The pricing of forwards provides valuable insights into market expectations for the future direction of currency pairs.
In one month the Pound-US Dollar exchange rate is forecast to be at 1.3306, according to market-implied pricing. In three months, the rate is expected to be at 1.3308. In six months the projected rate is at 1.3307. In one year the rate is expected to be at 1.3298.
Quarterly GBP/USD targets from Goldman Sachs, Barclays, JP Morgan, Deutsche Bank, ING and more โ updated weekly.