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12 July 2018 Thursday AM: GBP - Brexit Rebellions | USD - Inflation Data | EUR - Industrial Data | CAD - Squanders BoC Advantage

Foreign exchange markets are relatively flat on Thursday, July 12 with no major trade war headlines to contend with. US data and British-European politics are likely to form the focus of the day.

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11 July 2018 Midweek: Global Trade War Reignite | GBP - Firms | CAD - Bank of Canada | EUR - ECB Speakers | USD - PPI Data

Trade wars are back on the agenda mid-week following the unveiling by US President Donald Trump of another $200bn in tariffs on Chinese products, including consumer goods.

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10 July 2018 Tuesday AM: GBP - Big Data Day, EUR - German ZEW, USD - Laying Low, AUD - Enjoying Market Confidence, NZD - Positive

The Dollar continues to consolidate allowing a number of currencies to stretch their wings. Sterling will likely remain in focus thanks to ongoing political intrigue and a heavy dose of data due foโ€ฆ

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09 July 2018 Monday AM: GBP - Brexit Dominoes in Parliament, USD - Weak Wages Put Dollar in Retreat, EUR - Draghi in Focus

The Pound and Euro rose broadly while the US Dollar fell on Monday as the new week gets underway with a sparsely populated economic calendar having left markets focused on politics

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06 July 2018 Friday AM: Global - Trade War Starts, GBP - Big Brexit Day, USD and CAD - Employment Data, AUD - Good Wage Data

The Pound will be watching domestic politics for guidance today while the US Dollar and Canadian Dollar will be in focus as respective labour market numbers are released.

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Historical Exchange Rate Data

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Pound Sterling Index

Pound Sterling Index

Bank of England trade-weighted sterling effective exchange rate index (Jan 2005 = 100)

Is Your Currency Cheap or Expensive?

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Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER)

A reading above 100 means the currency is expensive relative to its long-run historical average. Below 100 means it is undervalued.

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง British Pound
105.20
Cheap Expensive
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Euro
103.41
Cheap Expensive
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Dollar
106.16
Cheap Expensive
๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ Australian Dollar
110.67
Cheap Expensive
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ Swiss Franc
119.94
Cheap Expensive

Exchange Rate Forecasts

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Market-implied Forecasts

GBP/EUR Market-implied Forecast
Spot: 1.1592 12M: 1.1407
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GBP/USD Market-implied Forecast
Spot: 1.3375 12M: 1.3347
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Dollar's Cyclical Powers Return: HSBC

Dollar's Cyclical Powers Return: HSBC

The dollar has rediscovered a powerful source of support: the U.S. economy.

FX Today: USD Retreats, NZD Tops the Table Pound-to-Dollar Week Ahead Forecast: Prodding Lower, CPI in Focus Dollar Pressures Pound and Euro on Crushing U.S. Jobs Report
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Australian Dollar Looking Fragile: Lloyds

Australian Dollar Looking Fragile: Lloyds

The Australian dollar looks vulnerable to a deeper setback shows a new anylsis from Lloyds Bank, although other analysts think the currency will refind its...

Pound-Australian Dollar Week Ahead: Further Recovery Seen Pound-Australian Dollar Near-term Outlook Underpinned by Firming Base Aussie Dollar Still Looks Good: Lloyds
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Euro Downside Risks on 'Dovish' ECB Hike

Euro Downside Risks on 'Dovish' ECB Hike

Euro exchange rates look to the European Central Bank for support, but they might find it lacking.

Euro-to-Dollar Week Ahead Forecast: Sellers in Control Euro-Dollar Risks 1.15 Next: ING Euro-Dollar Forecasts Lowered at Commerzbank
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Swiss Franc Most Vulnerable to Oil Spikes: HSBC

Swiss Franc Most Vulnerable to Oil Spikes: HSBC

Research from HSBC shows why the war in the Middle East has proven to be a significant headwind to the Swiss Franc.

Pound-Franc On Course to Slide Below Parity: J. Safra Sarasin Swiss Franc Tipped to Make a Comeback by UBS Swiss Franc Weakness Now SNB Policy