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01 August 2018 Midweek AM - GBP: Manufacturing PMI | ZAR: Land Confiscation Blow | NZD: Mixed Bag Labour Report | Trade Wars Back on the Agenda

Global themes are a central consideration midweek with signs the Trump administration is intent to pursue its trade war strategy.

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31 July 2018 Tuesday AM: JPY's Rude BoJ Surprise | AUD Outperforms on Data | NZD Dour Business Sentiment | CAD Suffers a NAFTA Setback

The Yen is hit by a disappointing outcome from the Bank of Japan meeting while the Australian and New Zealand Dollar see contrasting fortunes out of their latest domestic data releases. The Canadiaโ€ฆ

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30 July 2018 Monday AM: GBP sees Lending Data | EUR Eyes German CPI | AUD Digests Turnbull Drubbing | USD Steady

Foreign exchange markets are subdued on Monday with second-tier data being all that is on offer ahead of a busier second-half of the week that brings with it the Bank of England policy meeting. Howโ€ฆ

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27 July 2018 Friday AM: GBP Supported Despite Barnier | US GDP Data Dominates | AUD Political Intrig

Pound Sterling is supported despite ongoing Brexit negativity but it is the US Dollar that will dominate proceedings today with the release of a highly-anticipated GDP reading demanding market atteโ€ฆ

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26 July 2018 Thursday AM: GBP Brexit Update | EUR Eyes ECB Meeting | USD Subdued as Trump-Juncker Calm Trade Tensions

Expect more Brexit guidance today as the outcome of this week's negotiations are made known.

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Historical Exchange Rate Data

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Relative Performance

Pound Sterling Index

Pound Sterling Index

Bank of England trade-weighted sterling effective exchange rate index (Jan 2005 = 100)

Is Your Currency Cheap or Expensive?

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Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER)

A reading above 100 means the currency is expensive relative to its long-run historical average. Below 100 means it is undervalued.

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง British Pound
105.20
Cheap Expensive
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Euro
103.41
Cheap Expensive
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Dollar
106.16
Cheap Expensive
๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ Australian Dollar
110.67
Cheap Expensive
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ Swiss Franc
119.94
Cheap Expensive

Exchange Rate Forecasts

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Market-implied Forecasts

GBP/EUR Market-implied Forecast
Spot: 1.1591 12M: 1.1406
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GBP/USD Market-implied Forecast
Spot: 1.3382 12M: 1.3355
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Dollar's Cyclical Powers Return: HSBC

Dollar's Cyclical Powers Return: HSBC

The dollar has rediscovered a powerful source of support: the U.S. economy.

FX Today: USD Retreats, NZD Tops the Table Pound-to-Dollar Week Ahead Forecast: Prodding Lower, CPI in Focus Dollar Pressures Pound and Euro on Crushing U.S. Jobs Report
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Australian Dollar Looking Fragile: Lloyds

Australian Dollar Looking Fragile: Lloyds

The Australian dollar looks vulnerable to a deeper setback shows a new anylsis from Lloyds Bank, although other analysts think the currency will refind its...

Pound-Australian Dollar Week Ahead: Further Recovery Seen Pound-Australian Dollar Near-term Outlook Underpinned by Firming Base Aussie Dollar Still Looks Good: Lloyds
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Euro Downside Risks on 'Dovish' ECB Hike

Euro Downside Risks on 'Dovish' ECB Hike

Euro exchange rates look to the European Central Bank for support, but they might find it lacking.

Euro-to-Dollar Week Ahead Forecast: Sellers in Control Euro-Dollar Risks 1.15 Next: ING Euro-Dollar Forecasts Lowered at Commerzbank
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Swiss Franc Most Vulnerable to Oil Spikes: HSBC

Swiss Franc Most Vulnerable to Oil Spikes: HSBC

Research from HSBC shows why the war in the Middle East has proven to be a significant headwind to the Swiss Franc.

Pound-Franc On Course to Slide Below Parity: J. Safra Sarasin Swiss Franc Tipped to Make a Comeback by UBS Swiss Franc Weakness Now SNB Policy