Latest FX News

All News →

 

Saudi Arabia and commodity currencies

With Iran refusing to play ball on cuts to oil production, Saudi Arabia is tightening its regime of economic austerity.

Annual tax revenues will go up by ยฃ70bn and previously free services such as health care will be privatised.

It is instructive to see that the world's second-biggest oil producer feels under pressure to act, despite its huge foreign reserves.

There are those who argue that Saudi should devalue its riyal, which has kept its peg to the US dollar unchanged for three decades.

However, in common with other oil producers, the leadership in Riyadh is sticking to the peg because 90% of the country's exports are priced in dollars.

There has been a correction of nearly 50% to the February-March oil rally.

The sensation is that investors might not be as sanguine about the economic outlook as they had been thought to be.

As a result, the commodity currencies were the poorest performers on Monday.

The Canadian and Australian dollars lost a cent each to sterling, -0.5%, with the Norwegian krone beating them by only a whisker.

South Africa's rand fell by twice that much and the NZ dollar brought up the rear with a daily loss of -1.4%. The safe-haven Japanese yen led the field for a second day.

Pound Sterling Catches a Break

Except in the rarest of circumstances, major currencies do not make spectacular gains or losses for days on end.

So it was with sterling on Monday, when it took second place to the yen, strengthening by an average of 0.4% against the other dozen most actively-traded currencies.

There was no suggestion that investors had found new enthusiasm for the pound. It was more a case of them being unable to justify giving it another whack.

There was little to chose between the pound, the euro, the franc and the Swedish krona and the US dollar was only a quarter of a cent behind them.

The US dollar took a small step forward overnight after Chicago Federal Reserve President Charles Evans spoke of two rate increases this year.

The Kiwi took a step backwards in response to a 13-point fall in NZ business confidence, from 15% to 2%. The Aussie firmed when the Reserve Bank of Australia left its Cash Rate unchanged at 2%.

Historical Exchange Rate Data

Full Vault →

Relative Performance

Pound Sterling Index

Pound Sterling Index

Bank of England trade-weighted sterling effective exchange rate index (Jan 2005 = 100)

Is Your Currency Cheap or Expensive?

All Data →

Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER)

A reading above 100 means the currency is expensive relative to its long-run historical average. Below 100 means it is undervalued.

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง British Pound
106.42
Cheap Expensive
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Euro
102.63
Cheap Expensive
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Dollar
107.84
Cheap Expensive
๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ Australian Dollar
109.35
Cheap Expensive
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ Swiss Franc
117.98
Cheap Expensive

Exchange Rate Forecasts

All Forecasts →

Market-implied Forecasts

GBP/EUR Market-implied Forecast
Spot: 1.1717 12M: 1.1536
GBP/EUR Forecast →
GBP/USD Market-implied Forecast
Spot: 1.3324 12M: 1.3319
GBP/USD Forecast →

More Forecasts

Latest by Category

All News →
๐Ÿด๓ ฎ๓ บ๓ ฎ๓ ณ๓ ฎ๓ ฟ GBP/AUD More →
Australian Dollar Rebound Bolstered by "Exceptional" Jobs Print

Australian Dollar Rebound Bolstered by "Exceptional" Jobs Print

The AUD rides high, supported by domestic data and a subdued U.S. dollar environment.

Pound-Australian Dollar Week Ahead: Setback Encountered Pound vs. Australian Dollar: What This Week Offers Pound-to-Australian Dollar: Further Gains Possible
๐Ÿด๓ ฎ๓ บ๓ ฎ๓ ณ๓ ฎ๓ ฟ GBP/NZD More →
Hot New Zealand Dollar, Hot Inflation

Hot New Zealand Dollar, Hot Inflation

Above-consensus inflation locks in further RBNZ rate hikes and New Zealand Dollar support, say analysts.

Pound-New Zealand Forecast for the Week Ahead New Zealand Dollar Powers On Pound vs. New Zealand Dollar: The Coming Week
๐Ÿด๓ ฎ๓ บ๓ ฎ๓ ณ๓ ฎ๓ ฟ EUR/USD More →
Euro Looks to ECB's September Hike

Euro Looks to ECB's September Hike

The euro finds little support from the central bank's verification of market bets for a September rate hike.

Euro Outlook Rests on a War-wary ECB Euro-Dollar to Stay Under Pressure this Week Euro-Dollar: Scoping 1.15
๐Ÿด๓ ฎ๓ บ๓ ฎ๓ ณ๓ ฎ๓ ฟ GBP/CHF More →
Pound-Franc Gains Have Further to Run: BofA

Pound-Franc Gains Have Further to Run: BofA

The Pound's uptrend against the Swiss Franc has more to give, according to Bank of America, which says both its quantitative signals and the charts point h...

Swiss Franc Most Vulnerable to Oil Spikes: HSBC Pound-Franc On Course to Slide Below Parity: J. Safra Sarasin Swiss Franc Tipped to Make a Comeback by UBS