forecasts for the pound

Currency analysts at Admiral Markets have released their latest forecasts for the British pound against the Swiss Franc, New Zealand and Australian dollars.

Rates for Reference (@ the weekend):

Pound to Swiss Franc Exchange Rate (GBPCHF): 1.5251.
Pound to New Zealand Dollar Exchange Rate (GBPNZD): 2.0184.
Pound Aus Dollar Exchange (GBPAUD): 1.8714.

Be Aware: The above quotes are taken from the wholesale market and your bank will affix a spread at their discretion. However, an independent FX provider will guarantee to undercut your bankโ€™s offer, thereby delivering up to 5% more currency.

Pound vs New Zealand Dollar Forecast (GBP/NZD)

Commenting on the outlook for the sterling to kiwi dollar Anil Panchal, Market Analyst at Admiral Markets says:

"GBPNZD is forming a bearish flag pattern on H4 chart and is currently restrained by the horizontal resistance level of 2.0160, breaking which 2.0230 and the upper line of flag, near 2.0320, can become consequent resistances for the pair.

"Should the pair rally above 2.0230, it is likely to extend its up-move towards 2.0600. On the downside, psychological support level of 2.0000 can become immediate rest for the pair, breaking which the support line of flag, near 1.9930, can limit the pairโ€™s downturn.

"Should it break the 1.9930 on a closing basis, it confirms the bearish flag breakdown and can plunge to sub 1.9350 in a quick manner with 1.9600 being intermediate support for the pair."

(To gaurd agains currency fluctuations we recommend exploring a risk-management strategy. You can set a stop-loss beyond which you are not willing to take anymore losses or a buy-order at which your ideal rate is executed as soon as it is reached. Find out more here).

Sterling to Swiss Franc Forecast (GBP/CHF)

Turning to the GBPCHF Panchal says:

"50-day SMA and the 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement level of its March โ€“ October up-move seems currently restricting the GBPCHF up-move, breaking which the pair is more likely to rally towards 1.5400 resistance levels. On the break of 1.5400 on a closing basis, the pair can target 1.5530 on the upside; however, 1.5460 can become intermediate resistance for the pair.

"Should the pair fail to break 1.5280 โ€“ 1.5290 resistance zone, it may reverse back to 1.5200 and the 38.2% Fibo. level of 1.5130. Further, a break of 1.5130 can make the pair vulnerable to plunge towards sub-1.5000 in a quick manner."

Pound to Aus Dollar Forecast (GBP/AUD)

Looking at sterling's prospects against the Aussie, Panchal says:

"Descending trend-line resistance on Daily chart, coupled with the 76.4% Fibonacci Retracement of October 2013 โ€“ January 2014 up-move, seems capping the GBPAUD at present. Should it close above the 0.8610 resistance level, chances are higher that the pair can extend its up-move towards March high of 1.8830, breaking which 1.9000 level can restrict the pairโ€™s up-move towards yearly high of 1.9200.

"On the downside, 1.8400 is likely immediate support for the pair, breaking which the 50-day EMA, near 1.8250, and the 61.8% Fibo. level, near 1.8200, can become consecutive supports. On the sustained break of 1.8200, the pair becomes vulnerable to extend its downturn to sub-1.8000 levels."

Historical Exchange Rate Data

Full Vault →

Relative Performance

Pound Sterling Index

Pound Sterling Index

Bank of England trade-weighted sterling effective exchange rate index (Jan 2005 = 100)

Is Your Currency Cheap or Expensive?

All Data →

Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER)

A reading above 100 means the currency is expensive relative to its long-run historical average. Below 100 means it is undervalued.

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง British Pound
105.35
Cheap Expensive
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Euro
102.00
Cheap Expensive
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Dollar
107.03
Cheap Expensive
๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ Australian Dollar
108.38
Cheap Expensive
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ Swiss Franc
114.97
Cheap Expensive

Exchange Rate Forecasts

All Forecasts →

Market-implied Forecasts

GBP/EUR Market-implied Forecast
Spot: 1.1792 12M: 1.1616
GBP/EUR Forecast →
GBP/USD Market-implied Forecast
Spot: 1.3275 12M: 1.3284
GBP/USD Forecast →

More Forecasts

Latest by Category

All News →
๐Ÿด๓ ฎ๓ บ๓ ฎ๓ ณ๓ ฎ๓ ฟ GBP/USD More →
GBP/USD Week Ahead Forecast: Staying Under Pressure

GBP/USD Week Ahead Forecast: Staying Under Pressure

Sterling's recovery against the Dollar looks liable to stall this week as safe-haven demand builds.

Pound-Dollar Rises After Jobs Report Kills Off October Fed Hike Pound-to-Dollar: Williams Keeps USD Strength at Bay Pound to Dollar Week Ahead Forecast: USD Rally Due a Breather
๐Ÿด๓ ฎ๓ บ๓ ฎ๓ ณ๓ ฎ๓ ฟ GBP/NZD More →
GBP/NZD at Highest Since 2015

GBP/NZD at Highest Since 2015

Sterling should extend its advance against the New Zealand dollar this week, with the Kiwi short of friends.

GBP/NZD Eyes July Peak as Kiwi Caught in Trans-Tasman Rates Crossfire Pound to New Zealand Dollar Week Ahead Forecast: Uptrend Regroups for a Test of the July Peak GBP/NZD Softness to Exetend Until October RBNZ Call Is Settled