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20 September 2018 Thursday AM: GBP Retail Sales | NZD GDP Beat | USD Manufacturing Data | ZAR Rate Decision

The Pound will be watching retail numbers mid-morning but Brexit developments from the EU summit in Salzburg remain a key consideration. Global sentiment is meanwhile constructive, ensuring the Dolโ€ฆ

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19 September 2018 Wednesday AM: GBP Inflation Data | EUR Draghi Speech | USD Current Account Data | NZD GDP Data | AUD Short Squeeze

The British Pound will be subject to inflation data today while the US Dollar awaits current account and building starts. Overall risk sentiment is proving supportive to the likes of the New Zealanโ€ฆ

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18 September 2018 Tuesday AM: GBP Watching Barnier | USD Struggles Despite Tariffs | EUR Eyes Draghi | AUD Winning on RBA | NZD Eyes Dairy Auction

The Dollar and currency markets in general have shown a lacklustre response to the latest moves on Chinese imports by the US administration. The Pound will today be eyeing Brexit developments in Brโ€ฆ

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17 September 2018 Monday AM: GBP Digests Kurz Comments | EUR: ECB Speakers | USD: Trade War Instalments

The global picture will be important at the start of the week owing to both a thin calendar and thin trading conditions in Asia thanks to Typhoon Mangkhut and a Japanese public holiday.

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14 September 2018 Friday AM: GBP Eyes Carney Speech | USD: Retail Sales Data

Unless we receive any developments pertaining to global trade from the White House today we see little reason why the US Dollar will suffer a weekly decline.

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Pound Sterling Index

Pound Sterling Index

Bank of England trade-weighted sterling effective exchange rate index (Jan 2005 = 100)

Is Your Currency Cheap or Expensive?

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Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER)

A reading above 100 means the currency is expensive relative to its long-run historical average. Below 100 means it is undervalued.

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง British Pound
106.42
Cheap Expensive
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Euro
102.63
Cheap Expensive
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Dollar
107.84
Cheap Expensive
๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ Australian Dollar
109.35
Cheap Expensive
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ Swiss Franc
117.98
Cheap Expensive

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Market-implied Forecasts

GBP/EUR Market-implied Forecast
Spot: 1.1696 12M: 1.1516
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GBP/USD Market-implied Forecast
Spot: 1.3302 12M: 1.3301
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๐Ÿด๓ ฎ๓ บ๓ ฎ๓ ณ๓ ฎ๓ ฟ GBP/USD More →
Pound to Dollar Week Ahead Forecast: On the Defensive Into the Fed

Pound to Dollar Week Ahead Forecast: On the Defensive Into the Fed

Pound-Dollar risks a slide towards 1.3250 unless the Federal Reserve disappoints hawkish expectations.

Dollar Strength Ramps Up, Pound Eyes 6 Daily Losses on the Trot Pound-to-Dollar Week Ahead Forecast: Confirmation Phase Dollar Loving the AI Trade
๐Ÿด๓ ฎ๓ บ๓ ฎ๓ ณ๓ ฎ๓ ฟ GBP/AUD More →
Australian Dollar Slumps as Bullock Withholds the Smoking Gun

Australian Dollar Slumps as Bullock Withholds the Smoking Gun

The Australian Dollar slumped after RBA Governor Bullock declined to signal an August hike.

Australian Dollar Rebound Bolstered by "Exceptional" Jobs Print Pound-Australian Dollar Week Ahead: Setback Encountered Pound vs. Australian Dollar: What This Week Offers
๐Ÿด๓ ฎ๓ บ๓ ฎ๓ ณ๓ ฎ๓ ฟ GBP/NZD More →
Hot New Zealand Dollar, Hot Inflation

Hot New Zealand Dollar, Hot Inflation

Above-consensus inflation locks in further RBNZ rate hikes and New Zealand Dollar support, say analysts.

Pound-New Zealand Forecast for the Week Ahead New Zealand Dollar Powers On Pound vs. New Zealand Dollar: The Coming Week
๐Ÿด๓ ฎ๓ บ๓ ฎ๓ ณ๓ ฎ๓ ฟ EUR/USD More →
Euro Looks to ECB's September Hike

Euro Looks to ECB's September Hike

The euro finds little support from the central bank's verification of market bets for a September rate hike.

Euro Outlook Rests on a War-wary ECB Euro-Dollar to Stay Under Pressure this Week Euro-Dollar: Scoping 1.15
๐Ÿด๓ ฎ๓ บ๓ ฎ๓ ณ๓ ฎ๓ ฟ GBP/CHF More →
Pound-Franc Gains Have Further to Run: BofA

Pound-Franc Gains Have Further to Run: BofA

The Pound's uptrend against the Swiss Franc has more to give, according to Bank of America, which says both its quantitative signals and the charts point h...

Swiss Franc Most Vulnerable to Oil Spikes: HSBC Pound-Franc On Course to Slide Below Parity: J. Safra Sarasin Swiss Franc Tipped to Make a Comeback by UBS