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30 August 2018 Thursday AM: GBP Barnier Momentum | EUR and USD: Inflation Data | CAD: GDP Data, NAFTA | AUD in Data Shocker

The British Pound was the standout performer of the past 24 hours and we are looking for positive momentum to extend. However, it is a busy day for data releases and we will be watching the Euro, Dโ€ฆ

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29 August 2018 Wednesday AM: GBP Oversold | USD: GDP Data | CAD: Pressure to Sign a Trade Deal | AUD Consolidates Ahead of CAPEX

Foreign exchange markets see little by way of economic data on tap today, save for the US where a GDP revision and housing numbers are due. Month-end flows will become increasingly important ahead โ€ฆ

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28 August 2018 Tuesday AM - GBP: May 'No Deal' Comments | CAD Eyes NAFTA Success | USD Ongoing Underperformance

The Canadian Dollar is a prime focus for markets now that it appears progress is being made on NAFTA. The Pound could meanwhile be in for some further Brexit-related turbulence today.

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24 August 2018 Friday Noon: US Dollar, Global Markets, Eye Powell Speech in Jackson Hole | GBP Rebounds from Brexit-notice Lows | Australian Dollar Recovers after Morrison Sees Off Dutton in Race for PM's Job

The US Dollar eased lower, enabling the Pound, Euro and other currencies to edge higher, during the morning session Friday as traders took up positions ahead of an eagerly awaited address by Federaโ€ฆ

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23 August 2018 Thursday AM: US Dollar Rebounds as Market Eyes China-US Talks, Fed | GBP Looks to Government "No Deal" Notices | Euro Slips Alongside Mighty Manufacturing Sector | AUD Under Cosh as "Risk-off" Prevails, Turnbull Flounders

The US Dollar rose into the Thursday session as financial markets shifted into "risk-off" mode ahead of planned talks between White House trade representatives and Chinese officials, which saw bothโ€ฆ

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Historical Exchange Rate Data

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Relative Performance

Pound Sterling Index

Pound Sterling Index

Bank of England trade-weighted sterling effective exchange rate index (Jan 2005 = 100)

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Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER)

A reading above 100 means the currency is expensive relative to its long-run historical average. Below 100 means it is undervalued.

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง British Pound
105.28
Cheap Expensive
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Euro
103.31
Cheap Expensive
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Dollar
106.83
Cheap Expensive
๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ Australian Dollar
109.31
Cheap Expensive
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ Swiss Franc
119.07
Cheap Expensive

Exchange Rate Forecasts

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Market-implied Forecasts

GBP/EUR Market-implied Forecast
Spot: 1.1573 12M: 1.1394
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GBP/USD Market-implied Forecast
Spot: 1.3434 12M: 1.3415
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๐Ÿด๓ ฎ๓ บ๓ ฎ๓ ณ๓ ฎ๓ ฟ GBP/USD More →
GBP/USD Forecast Update: The Selloff Has Suffered a Setback

GBP/USD Forecast Update: The Selloff Has Suffered a Setback

The Pound-to-dollar dropped notably last week in the wake of a run of stronger-than-expected U.S. data.

Why Pound-Dollar Rose After Strong U.S. Inflation Print London FX Open: GBP Rises, USD Subdued Ahead of 2 Key Events Dollar's Cyclical Powers Return: HSBC
๐Ÿด๓ ฎ๓ บ๓ ฎ๓ ณ๓ ฎ๓ ฟ GBP/AUD More →
Australian Dollar Weakness Propels GBP/AUD To Major Level

Australian Dollar Weakness Propels GBP/AUD To Major Level

Australian dollar weakness is building as the market pivots towards expecting Fed rate hikes.

Australian Dollar Looking Fragile: Lloyds Pound-Australian Dollar Week Ahead: Further Recovery Seen Pound-Australian Dollar Near-term Outlook Underpinned by Firming Base
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The Bull Case for Europe is Growing: BNP Paribas

The Bull Case for Europe is Growing: BNP Paribas

"Europe is quietly preparing to emerge from its post-pandemic underwater years like a nymph turns into a stunning dragonfly" - BNP Paribas.

Euro Downside Risks on 'Dovish' ECB Hike Euro-to-Dollar Week Ahead Forecast: Sellers in Control Euro-Dollar Risks 1.15 Next: ING
๐Ÿด๓ ฎ๓ บ๓ ฎ๓ ณ๓ ฎ๓ ฟ GBP/CHF More →
Swiss Franc Most Vulnerable to Oil Spikes: HSBC

Swiss Franc Most Vulnerable to Oil Spikes: HSBC

Research from HSBC shows why the war in the Middle East has proven to be a significant headwind to the Swiss Franc.

Pound-Franc On Course to Slide Below Parity: J. Safra Sarasin Swiss Franc Tipped to Make a Comeback by UBS Swiss Franc Weakness Now SNB Policy