The British pound looks set to extend its recovery against the New Zealand dollar in the days ahead, but the market isn't ready to trend meaningfully.
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The Reserve Bank will not chase inflation with faster hikes, diminishing the NZD's rate support.
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The pound is pinned between its short-term average and support against the Kiwi, the RBNZ decision and USD direction could prove pivotal this week.
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GBP/NZD's August recovery has failed at its long-term average and the decline looks set to resume.
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GBP/NZD's recovery has been rejected at the 200-day moving average, and a falling U.S. Dollar is working for the Kiwi.
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Falling inflation expectations trim September hike bets, but economists still expect the RBNZ to tighten.
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The British pound has been turned back at the ceiling again, with New Zealand inflation expectations due on Thursday.
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