Tax cuts, higher interest rates, faster GDP growth and renewed dovishness from the world's other central banks all add up to a stronger US Dollar toward year-end.
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The Pound-to-Dollar is likely to be the focus of intense political speculation in the week ahead, however, we add an analysis of market prices to the mix, in a bid to estimate direction.
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If the US and global economies grow, the Dollar will fall. If the US economy slows, the Dollar will fall. Dog days ahead for the Greenback in 2018, or so it appears.
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US Treasury yields are in retreat, German Bunds have steadied, Senate Republicans are meddling and so a tax-tantrum could be in store for the USD.
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Economist Taylor may still be in line for number two position at the Fed, says Commerzbank analyst.
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The US Dollar is outperforming on the day with most global currencies suffering declines in the region of 0.4% against the Greenback as seasonal drivers appear to take control of FX markets.
Read more … →The short term Dollar-outlook is still up for debate among strategists but most agree the long-term picture is bleak.
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