Opinion: How accounting funnies at Europe's banks could hit EUR/USD in December and why markets are in danger of complacency over 2018's election in Italy.

November 25,2017

euro exchange rate 4

The Euro will probably push its advantage against a Dollar weakened by recent inflation scepticism, especially if German political risk eases and Europe stays confident.

November 24,2017

Markets are under-pricing the likely economic impact of President Trump's tax cuts and underestimating the political imperative to get the bill through Washington. 

November 22,2017

Inflation divergence, US politics, political risk in Europe and seasonal factors could mean EUR/USD sees further downside in December.

November 20,2017

euro exchange rate 5

We retain a positive bias for the pair at the start of a new trading week after the exchange rate broke out higher and the Eurozone economy continues to show improving strength.

November 20,2017

euro to dollar exchange rate 2

 The Euro-to-US Dollar has risen above a key level distinguishing the downtrend from the uptrend, and we are now bullish, which means we expect the exchange rate to go higher.

November 14,2017

exchange rate forecasts 1

A recent surprise bout of strength for the Euro-to-US Dollar rate is not enough to unseat one staunchly negative view.

November 13,2017

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