February month-end flows are likely to result in a weaker Dollar, according to Crédit Agricole's assessment of potential month-end currency market flows.
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Pound Sterling is favoured over the Dollar this week thanks to an improved technical setup, a well-understood Fed rate cut repricing story and month-end flows.
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The chatter in FX circles this week has centred around whether the investor lust for Nvidia shares is spilling over into currency markets.
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Strong U.S. jobs data and the 'Nvidia effect' have put the U.S. Dollar back on top.
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Dollar weakness extended despite the Federal Reserve confirming caution around lowering interest rates too quickly, suggesting the 'hawkish' repricing has largely run its course.
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The U.S. dollar hit an air pocket this week, losing altitude without any clear news catalyst behind the decline.
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The Pound to Dollar exchange rate retreated further last week but the losses remain relatively constrained and we see the potential for some slight upside in the coming days.
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