Technical signs that the pair may have formed a potential bottom conflict with a firm advantage for the Australian dollar based purely on interest rate differentials.
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The GBP/AUD pair is falling, driven by concerns about sterling caused by the Brexit saga, whilst the Aussie has taken on a more neutral role.
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With Australia likely to offer investors 1.5% for the foreseeable future and the UK gearing up an interest rate cut, the bias favours Aussie dollar outperformance.
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Strong Australian fundamentals and a change of central bank strategy is behind the Australian dollar’s recent surge.
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There is a strong case for the Australian dollar rising after technical analysis from Singapore bank OUB and separate fundamental analysis from Citibank both argue for Aussie gains on the horizon.
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Aussie Dollar strength expected to prevail this week as positive domestic data contrasts with the deteriorating sentiment towards the Pound over the threat of a ‘hard’ Brexit outcome.
Read more … →GBP/AUD to fall to 1.69 due to Bank of England (BOE) activity.
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