The latest Forum on Central Banking in Sintra, Portugal, offered insight this week into the thinking of the European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of England (BoE) and Federal Reserve (Fed) while also providing clues about the things that will matter for their interest rate policies in the months ahead. 

July 1,2022

"Recession will likely be avoided this year," says Sonali Punhani, Chief UK Economist at Credit Suisse, as she delivers her team's latest forecasts for the UK economy.

June 30,2022

Federal Reserve hikes

Macro Hive thinks the Federal Reserve could keep hiking interest rates to a much higher peak (5.25% or more) than the market currently prices (3.5-4.0%).

June 28,2022

Uk house prices forecast to fall

UK house prices will fall in the second half of 2022 as a surge in mortgage rates continues over the summer says Pantheon Macroeconomics.

September 21,2022

UK economic growth forecasts cut

War, surging commodity prices and China's Covid outbreak are the main drivers of a sharp economic slowdown that could result in a "mild" UK recession taking hold in 2023 says KPMG whose economists cut forecasts for UK economic growth in 2022 and 2023.

June 27,2022

Interest rates and finance

The Bank of England's basic interest rate should be set as high as 10% given the scale of UK inflation, according to a major insurer.

June 24,2022

UK economy recession not inevitable

Barclays says the UK economy will avoid recession, however economists at Berenberg Bank say the UK could already be in the grip of a recession that will last for four quarters.

June 23,2022

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