15 February 2024 Recession Worries? The Worst is Over for the Economy, Says Berenberg

Is news of a UK recession a cause for worry? No, not really, says a leading economist who says the economy was let down by drooping exports.

Read more … →
14 February 2024 Bank of England's Bailey: Inflation Figures No Game-changer

Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey has responded to January's inflation data surprise by warning that the numbers do not change the outlook presented at the Bank's last policy meeting.

Read more … →
14 February 2024 UK Deflation Now A Looming Threat: IEA

The Bank of England will cut rates to as low as 4.0% by year-end as recession and deflation threaten the UK economy, according to the Institute of Economic Affairs (IEA).

Read more … →
14 February 2024 The Two Charts Confirming Rapid UK Disinflation that Sets the Bank of England Up For 5 Rate Cuts in 2024

UK headline CPI inflation might be running at double the Bank of England's 2.0% target, but if we look closer at the data we see a strong disinflation is underway in the UK, opening the door to int…

Read more … →
13 February 2024 U.S. Inflation No Gamechanger, Shelter's Outsized Impact Tipped to Fade

U.S. inflation came in well above expectations in January, but economists say this is a blip as leading indicators all point to ongoing declines in inflation over the coming months.

Read more … →
13 February 2024 Don't Sneer at This Strong Wage Data: Oxford Economics

"Our nowcast also suggests that the slowdown in wage growth has faded. We think this combination of a tight labour market and solid wage growth is likely to lead the MPC to take a cautious approach…

Read more … →
08 February 2024 Wells Fargo Upgrades U.S. GDP Forecast, Eyes Federal Reserve Rate Cut in May

In its latest economic outlook report for February 2024, Wells Fargo paints a cautiously optimistic picture of the U.S. economy, buoyed by upgrades to GDP forecasts and closely monitoring anticipat…

Read more … →