05 May 2016 A Donald Trump Presidency = a Stronger US Dollar

The dramatic ascendance of Donald Trump as the apparent Republican nominee over the past 24 hours has been accompanied by a 0.4% rally in the Bloomberg dollar index (BBDXY).

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05 May 2016 UK Services Betray the Return of Inflation - But Will the Bank of England Take Note?

The Bank of England will surely have to take note of the fact UK prices are rising at a rate that is subduing economic growth.

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04 May 2016 Construction PMI: Another Soft UK Data Release

We have had two notable data releases from the UK economy already in May - and both have proved to be sterling-negative.

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03 May 2016 Pound Rattled as UK Manufacturing Records First Decline Since 2013, But Improvements Forecast by One Commentator

The pound has fallen against the euro but maintains recent strength elsewhere  as the first data release of May is unequivocally negative.

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22 April 2016 UK GDP Data Firm, Should Keep Pound Sterling Bid

This week, Wednesday’s preliminary estimate of Q1 GDP takes centre-stage for the British pound on the data front, and some slowdown from Q4’s 0.6% quarterly rise looks inevitable.

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21 April 2016 UK Retail Sales in Surprise Slump, British Pound Looking Heavy as Stock Market Rally Takes a Break

Another set of underwhelming economic stats are released adding to evidence that the UK economy is slowing down.

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12 April 2016 UK Inflation: Is this ‘Escape Velocity’ and Should the Bank of England be Worried?

The British pound’s outlook rests with two factors, in our view: The EU referendum in June and UK inflation data.

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