Euro to US Dollar Forecast and Live Exchange Rate
The euro to us dollar forecast from investment banks and market pricing, with the live EUR/USD rate, charts and daily analysis
Live Rate
1 EUR = 1.1159 USD โผ -0.1900%
High 1.1215
Low 1.1137
Open 1.1180
Prev. Close 1.1180
One Week
-0.39%
1.1227 H · 1.1105 L
One Month
-0.84%
1.1215 H · 1.1137 L
One Year
-5.67%
1.2081 H · 1.1105 L
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Updated
What's Driving EUR/USD
- ๐บ๐ธ Pound Sterling Live forecasts EUR/USD staying under pressure near its 2026 lows into the ECB's decision on 29 October, with Fed hike expectations keeping USD supported
- EUR/USD closed beneath 1.1150 on 27 October, ending the case for a tactical rebound
- Fed voted 10-2 on 28 October to hold the funds rate at 3.75% to 4.00%, with two dissenters favouring a hike
- Crรฉdit Agricole: investors read Chair Kevin Warsh dovishly after he said quashing inflation is not about a fixed calendar date, pulling two-year Treasury yields to 4.70%
- Markets price around 21bp of Fed hikes for December and 46bp through March, with US PCE data on 30 October the next test
- CIBC Capital Markets: the case for a December hike is still strong, with two dissents and core CPI above expectations for two months
- Pantheon Macroeconomics: falling inflation and rising unemployment in 2027 will let the Fed stop hiking and cut rates by 75bp by year-end
- ECB decides on 29 October with the deposit rate expected to hold at 2.50%, and a hawkish Lagarde keeping a December hike in play would support EUR
- ๐ 1.1113, the 14 October low tested again on 28 October, is EUR/USD's floor
- The falling 21-day average at 1.1202 has capped EUR/USD through October, with lower highs since mid-month
- ๐ญ Pound Sterling Live's medium-term forecast is for EUR/USD to extend towards 1.10 while French stress and Fed hike expectations persist, with the 100-day average falling at 1.1435
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Daily Euro to US Dollar Statistics
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