Euro to Pound Forecast and Live Exchange Rate
The euro to pound forecast from investment banks and market pricing, with the live EUR/GBP rate, charts and daily analysis
Live Rate
1 EUR = 0.8344 GBP โฒ +0.0300%
High 0.8352
Low 0.8334
Open 0.8341
Prev. Close 0.8341
One Week
+0.11%
0.8364 H · 0.8323 L
One Month
-1.44%
0.8365 H · 0.8322 L
One Year
-3.66%
0.8789 H · 0.8322 L
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Updated
What's Driving EUR/GBP
- ๐ฌ๐ง Pound Sterling Live forecasts EUR/GBP holding near its lows into the Bank of England's 5 November decision, with oversold conditions no barrier to a trend driven by French fiscal stress
- EUR/GBP fell below 0.8333 on 30 October to an 18-month low
- Bank of England is expected to raise Bank Rate to 4.00% from 3.75% on 5 November, its first hike since August 2023, with guidance the bigger test for GBP
- Lloyds: an insurance hike rather than the start of a tightening cycle, with a 6-3 vote expected, against market pricing for four hikes over 12 months
- Eurozone flash inflation on 4 November, consensus 3.9% from 3.8% with core at 2.5%, will test the ECB's December plans
- The UK's 10-year yield premium over France has fallen to 0.36 points from about 1.1 in July, with EUR/GBP falling in step from above 0.86
- Corpay: the French-German 10-year spread near 175bp is approaching the 2011 high of 190bp, with a French budget vote on 17 November a further source of unease
- UBS: would avoid chasing further euro weakness, with speculative investors already heavily positioned against it
- ๐ EUR/GBP is deeply oversold, the mirror of GBP/EUR's RSI at 83, but the steeply falling 21-day average near 0.8419 means a bounce to it would be under 1%
- EUR/GBP is seen holding below 0.8403 this week, with a daily close above the 21-day the signal of a deeper consolidation
- ๐ญ Pound Sterling Live's medium-term forecast is for EUR/GBP to reset into a lower range beneath 0.8333, the mirror of GBP/EUR's higher range
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Daily Euro to Pound Statistics
Select month:
| Date | Open | Close | High | Low | Mid |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 6 Nov | 0.8341 | 0.8344 | 0.8352 | 0.8334 | 0.8343 |
| Thu 5 Nov | 0.8335 | 0.8341 | 0.8349 | 0.8323 | 0.8338 |
| Wed 4 Nov | 0.8343 | 0.8335 | 0.8359 | 0.8331 | 0.8339 |
| Tue 3 Nov | 0.8344 | 0.8343 | 0.8349 | 0.8330 | 0.8344 |
| Mon 2 Nov | 0.8335 | 0.8344 | 0.8364 | 0.8331 | 0.8339 |