18 August 2022 Signs of Progress in U.S. Inflation Fightback Yet to Deter Hawkish Fed 

Multiple pieces of recent economic data have offered early signs that U.S. inflation pressures may be moderating but minutes of July’s Federal Reserve monetary policy meeting make clear that these …

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04 August 2022 Fed Speak Hints of Another Reckoning Ahead for Currency and Bond Markets

Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly said twice this week that bond markets are mispricing the outlook for U.S. interest rates and implied that a reset of expectations could be…

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29 July 2022 Dollar Exchange Rate Outlook: Analyst Commentary and Strategy Post-Fed

Dollar exchange rates were on course for a second consecutive decline in the final session of the week after the Federal Reserve (Fed) said that U.S. economic data will influence the remainder…

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28 July 2022 Federal Reserve Lifts Pound to Dollar Rate into Chart Resistance Near 1.2179

The Pound to Dollar rate extended an almost nine day rally before being stalled by technical resistance on the charts after the Federal Reserve (Fed) indicated it would likely raise interest rates …

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20 July 2022 Euro's Recovery against the Dollar Hints of Possible Inflection Point for Currency Markets

The Euro to Dollar rate has reversed half of its July decline in a rally that may be an early warning of a market inflection point that would likely provide many currencies with relief from the rec…

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14 July 2022 U.S. Dollar: Supersized 100bp Federal Reserve Rate Hike Firmly in Play

  "Is the coast clear for a 100bps hike from the Fed on July 29th? Of course it is"

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07 July 2022 Federal Reserve Interest Rate Risk Bodes Ill for Global Economic Outlook

Federal Reserve policy tightening is already making a mark on economies and currencies around the world but minutes of June’s meeting suggested this week that its impact could grow when making clea…

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01 July 2022 ECB, BoE and Fed Policy in Focus: Notes and Quotes from Sintra Forum

The latest Forum on Central Banking in Sintra, Portugal, offered insight this week into the thinking of the European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of England (BoE) and Federal Reserve (Fed) while also p…

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28 June 2022 Fed Could Hike to 5.25% says Macro Hive

Macro Hive thinks the Federal Reserve could keep hiking interest rates to a much higher peak (5.25% or more) than the market currently prices (3.5-4.0%).

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16 June 2022 U.S. Dollar: Market Grapples with 75bp Fed Hike

The Federal Reserve will continue to hike by sizeable increments that will maintain conditions for further Dollar strength say analysts.

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16 June 2022 U.S. Dollar Steadies in Europe as Fed Eyes "Moderately Restrictive" Rates

Dollar exchange rates pared away overnight losses in Europe on Thursday after Chairman Jerome Powell said there is broad support at the Federal Reserve (Fed) for lifting its interest rate to a…

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03 June 2022 Hawkish Fed and U.S. Data a Headwind for Pound to Dollar Rate's Recovery

The Pound to Dollar exchange rate rebounded from earlier losses late this week but was hampered again in thin holiday trade on Friday after the May non-farm payrolls and Services PMI reports offere…

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02 June 2022 Euro-Dollar: Growing Risks ECB Underwhelms Expectations

The European Central Bank has recently prepped markets for a pending uplift in its interest rates and chief economist Philip Lane suggested this week that it could now look to “validate” market exp…

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26 May 2022 Dollar Eases after Fed Confirms Q4 Policy Rethink Possible 

The Pound to Dollar rate edged further back above the 1.25 level following the release of minutes from the May Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting, which confirmed that U.S. policymakers could be likely …

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19 May 2022 Pound in Strong Recovery against U.S. Dollar

The Pound to Dollar rate has rebounded strongly from two-year lows and spent much of the week consolidating steep earlier losses but multiple resistances now obstruct its path higher on the charts …

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05 May 2022 Powell says No to a 75bp Rate Hike, Dollar Softens Temporarily

GBP/USD in corrective rebound after the Federal Reserve raises rates but warns a more sizeable 75 basis point hike is unlikely.

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04 May 2022 "Hawkish FOMC Surprise would Turbo Charge USD" - CBA

"A hawkish FOMC surprise would turbo charge USD and short‑term Treasury yields" - CBA.

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03 May 2022 Confidence in the Fed to Wane Further: Macro Hive's FOMC Preview

The Fed sticking to its current policy plans at next week’s meeting is likely to deepen the market’s loss of confidence and therefore see the curve steepen further.

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22 April 2022 Pound to Dollar Rate Outlook Sours and Brings 1.2837 into View

The Pound to Dollar rate tumbled from the outset in the final session of the week with a dive below 1.30 bringing a major level of support near 1.2837 on the charts into view after UK economic data…

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08 April 2022 Pound / Dollar Rate Dive Bombs 1.30 as USD Strength Builds 

The Pound to Dollar exchange rate neared 2022 lows in the final session of the week as U.S. government bond yields rose further and the greenback’s strength broadened, leaving Sterling vulnerable i…

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