The Pound-to-New Zealand Dollar (Kiwi) has pulled back as a result of surprise Kiwi strength due to a better economic outlook, the Pound meanwhile remains deadlocked over Brexit.
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The Kiwi has been oversold since the September election. Government policy means RBNZ inflation forecasts are rising, while the RBA sees price pressures waning further still, leading one stra…
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Kiwi interest rates are likely to rise sooner than previously thought, RBNZ reform is looking like a damp squib and strategists are saying the NZD could be due a recovery.
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The New Zealand Central Bank has the power to influence the exchange rate to a considerable degree, although analysts are divided as to whether it will when it meets on Wednesday.
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The Kiwi is down 6% since September's election, unemployment has fallen and inflation is picking up - which would normally sum to a bullish currency outlook.
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GBP/NZD has pulled back but not enough to suggest a reversal of the uptrend, but with many expecting the Reserve Bank to turn bullish next week the pair could fall further as the NZD appreciates.
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The election of a new government with views antithetical to a strong currency has depressed the New Zealand Dollar, but the risks are overdone says BNZ's Wong.
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