GBP/EUR

The Pound-to-Euro is showing short-term bearish and longer-term bullish potential, and in the week ahead fresh data from December in Manufacturing and Services as well as Eurozone Inflation dominate the economic calendar.

The Pound-to-Euro rate is currently falling within a range but is forecast to eventually break higher and rise up to a target in the 1.16 area.

Spending by tourists visiting the UK has surged at its fastest rate in seven years, according to recent data from the Office of National Statistics(ONS).

The UK economy grew by a modest 0.4% in the recent quarter, tourist spending surged and the current account deficit narrowed but the 2018 outlook remains uncertain.

The European central bank kept monetary policy unchanged but substantially revised up economic growth projections at its policy meeting on Thursday.

Despite being trapped in a range between 1.1050 and 1.1510, the pair is forecast to eventually breakout higher as the uptrend resumes.

There is a Santa Rally in US equities, a supposed Thanksgiving effect on the Dollar but is there evidence of a seasonal effect on the Euro?

The rallying Euro, spurred on by the economic recovery in the Eurozone, will ironically become further growth's main headwind in 2018, says UBS.

The fiscal-cocaine of cheap borrowing has sustained the recovery in the Eurozone but what are the implications for the single currency?

The UK's trade deficit grew to -18.1bn in September as the country continued to import more than it exports - Sterling probably weakened as a result.

Euro-area growth and inflation are too low to support the currency and it this is unlikely to change during the current European Central Bank President's tenure.

The Euro has weakened due to long-term negative growth prospects but could a restocking drive keep the single currency supported?

The Pound temporarily appreciated on Thursday after the release of survey data showed the Construction sector shifting from contraction to expansion in October.

The Pound-to-Euro is forecast to steadily rise in the week ahead, supported by a tightening of money by the Bank of England (BOE) and political and inflationary risks weighing on the Euro.

Europe's central bankers will meet on Thursday to discuss their strategy for the future - what they say is likely to have a major impact on the single currency.

Eurozone manufacturing activity rose surprisingly sharply in October, according to Purchasing Manager survey data released on Tuesday.

Sterling has rebounded following a turnaround in increasingly bleak EU talks whilst technical analysts say the charts could be showing support for further upside for the Pound - at least eventually.

Government borrowing appears to be declining overall according to data from the Office of National Statistics (ONS) who released government borrowing data on Friday which showed a fall of about 700 million compared to the same month in the previous year, and below what economists had forecast.

Sterling is weaker after the release of Retail Sales statistics showed a massive decline in September sales, but a leading economist still thinks Bank of England (BOE) will hike rates.

The Euro is set to rise after temporarily trading lower due to political risk factors, say's Crédit Agricole's Head of G10 FX Strategy, Valentin Marinov.