Buy Australian Dollar Dips: OCBC

  • Written by: Gary Howes

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OCBC says it favours buying dips in the Australian Dollar.

Strategists at OCBC look for further Aussie Dollar upside and hold a dip-buying stance on the currency.

The call from South-east Asia's second-largest bank follows the Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rate cut, delivered Tuesday.

The AUD dipped and registered a floor at $0.6481, from where buying interest emerged; it then extended gains following a benign USD CPI inflation report.

AUD/USD has subsequently reclaimed 0.65, seen as a key level by traders.

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OCBC says RBA Governor Michelle Bullock's press conference did not indicate any major shift in policy bias.

This interpretation runs counter to the view that the RBA has undergone a 'dovish' shift and may favour more cuts in the future, a belief that delivered broad-based AUD weakness in the wake of the policy decision.

However, OCBC says Bullock confirmed further moves on interest rates are possible if data warrants, while also saying that a larger cut was not discussed at the meeting.

"From a FX point of view, RBA is cutting rate from a position of stability not distress," says Frances Cheung, FX and Rates Strategist at OCBC, South-east Asia's second-largest bank.

"Bias remains to buy dips," adds Cheung.

From a technical perspective, Cheung notes bearish momentum on daily chart faded while RSI rose. Resistance is now seen at 0.6550, 0.66 levels, and support at 0.65 and 0.6430.

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