Markets are under-pricing the likely economic impact of President Trump's tax cuts and underestimating the political imperative to get the bill through Washington.
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Inflation divergence, US politics, political risk in Europe and seasonal factors could mean EUR/USD sees further downside in December.
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We retain a positive bias for the pair at the start of a new trading week after the exchange rate broke out higher and the Eurozone economy continues to show improving strength.
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The Euro-to-US Dollar has risen above a key level distinguishing the downtrend from the uptrend, and we are now bullish, which means we expect the exchange rate to go higher.
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A recent surprise bout of strength for the Euro-to-US Dollar rate is not enough to unseat one staunchly negative view.
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The Euro-to-US Dollar has been looking less bearish of late after a recovery at the end of last week brought into question the validity of a bearish pattern on the chart.
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A stream of positive data and upbeat talk from the continent appears to be stimulating a renaissance in the Euro - how far can the single currency go?
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