The technical outlook for Sterling has improved but much will depend on the outcome of cross-party Brexit talks due to conclude this week.
The British Pound is poised to move lower against the Euro over coming days, but momentum is expected to be weak and therefore any losses would likely be shallow. We will be watching the Bank of England interest rate decision and inflation forecast due out on Thursday for guidance.
The British Pound is flat at the start of the new week but political intrigue in Westminister is expected to start building as MPs return from their Easter break.
Week ahead forecast for Pound Sterling against the Euro suggests upside impetus is fading while attention will turn back to the state of the UK and Eurozone economies as Brexit headlines fade.
A pivotal week for the British Pound lies ahead with the EU due to decide whether to offer the UK a long Brexit extension while an unlikely cross-party Brexit deal between the Labour and Conservative parties could finally put an end to a period of chronic uncertainty.
The Pound-to-Euro rate is set to begin trading at 1.1617 Sunday after having fallen around half a percent in the previous week, although the pair remains above its long-term range ceiling and studies of the charts suggest renewed gains this week cannot be ruled out.
The Pound-to-Euro rate is set to beging trading around 1.1672 Sunday after closing the previous week around half a percent lower, although technical studies of the charts suggest the market still has a bullish bias and that the exchange rate could rise in the days ahead.
The Pound-to-Euro rate is to begin trading around 1.1737 on Sunday after having risen 1.3% in the previous week, although technical signals coming from the charts suggest the exchange rate can rise further during the coming days.
Our technical studies suggest the Pound could come under further pressure against the Euro in the short-term; while the tenor on Sterling has deteriorated from a technical perspective over recent days readers should expect significant volatility to buck the currency over coming days as the House of Commons votes on the EU-UK Brexit deal.
Technical conditions continue to favour Pound Sterling over the Euro and we could see gains in GBP/EUR extend after the pullback seen towards the end of the previous week. However, we are wary that Prime Minister Theresa May could bring the second meaningful vote on Brexit to parliament this week.
Technical studies are broadly in favour of further advances in Pound Sterling over coming days, however a potentially significant week of parliamentary votes could well trigger sizeable and unforseen moves in the UK currency.
The short-term technical outlook for the Pound-to-Euro exchange rate is improving, while weekend comments from French President Macron suggesting the EU should give the UK legally-binding pledges over the question of the Irish backstop will likely generate early interest amongst traders.
From a technical standpoint, the outlook for GBP/EUR is bullish after the pair broke out of a wedge pattern, and it is forecast to continue rising from here, potentially up to a target at the top of the range, at 1.1575-1.1600.
Brexit deadlock leaves fertile grounds for the Pound and Euro to enter a consolidative pattern, however one study of the GBP/EUR exchange rate's technical charts shows the pair has fallen back into what could be considered a 'buyzone'.
Short-term technical indicators for the Pound remain positive and suggest further gains against the Euro are possible in the coming week. The key events to watch on the calendar include Tuesday's votes on Brexit in the UK parliament and Thursday's Eurozone GDP data release.
The technical outlook for the GBP/EUR exchange rate remains constructive in the shorter term and for Pound Sterling much will depend on parliament's ongoing crusade to prevent a 'no deal' Brexit from transpiring on March 29.
From a technical perspective Pound Sterling is positively aligned against the Euro, but we are wary of a notable spike in volatility over coming days as the EU-UK Brexit deal is put in front of the UK parliament.
Technical studies of the GBP/EUR exchange rate have improved notably over recent days leading us to be bullish short-term on a technical basis, however we are aware that intense political anxiety will beset Sterling this week as UK lawmakers return to work ahead of the key Brexit vote scheduled for next week.
The Pound-to-Euro rate rebounded from close to year-lows late last week and now, s we start the new week, the charts are appear to be promising a continuation of that rebound higher.
The British Pound is liable to suffer further losses against the Euro over coming days according to our latest studies of the charts while all eyes turn to parliament on Tuesday for a key Brexit vote where the scale of Theresa May's loss will be key for Sterling.
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